External Factors Seen as Threats to Indonesia's GDP Growth
Dion Bisara, Reva Sasistiya & Camelia Pasandaran | February 11, 2010
Related articles
Israel, With Higher GDP, Is Envy of Developed Nations 7:26pm Sep 23, 2011
Govt Economic Projections Overly Bullish, Analysts Say 10:35pm Mar 29, 2011
Euro Zone Records Strong 2nd Quarter GDP Growth 9:35pm Aug 13, 2010
Investment, Consumption Fuel Faster GDP Growth 11:51pm Aug 5, 2010
Indonesia Rising: What a Difference a Decade Makes 8:58pm May 24, 2010
Post a comment
Please login to post comment
Comments
Be the first to write your opinion!
External factors still pose a threat to growth despite the country’s robust economic performance through the global downturn, Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati warned on Thursday.
Sri Mulyani said the government had no immediate plans to revise its 5.5 percent growth forecast for this year.
“For one thing, our achievement in past quarters has been encouraging. On the other hand, we still see downside risks, mainly external,” she said.
Sri Mulyani said Indonesia must take a cautious view because there is a danger that the global economic recovery will stall as large developed nations begin withdrawing their fiscal stimulus packages.
“Indonesia has to be extremely careful and manage all its external factors to not make another confidence crisis,” Sri Mulyani said.
Indonesia posted growth in gross domestic product of 4.5 percent last year, slightly higher than the government’s forecast, thanks to better-than-expected exports and resilient consumer spending, the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) announced on Wednesday.
Fourth-quarter GDP growth was the highest since the third quarter of 2008, when the economy expanded by 6.25 percent.
Separately, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono said Indonesia must capitalize on the momentum from last year’s solid economic performance.
“This means our policy to minimize the impact of the crisis has reached its goal. We must keep this precondition [to grow]. I don’t want the momentum we have now not being used well,” Yudhoyono said at the State Palace on Thursday.
On Wednesday, Ross O’Brien, director of the Corporate Network at the Economist Intelligence Unit in Hong Kong, warned that slow progress on infrastructure, rising global food prices, energy-security issues and the fragility of the global recovery may dent Indonesia’s economic prospects.
Economic growth has long been hampered by poor infrastructure, with aging ports and railways adding to the country’s transport woes, while power shortages afflict many parts of the country. The government has estimated that the country needs nearly Rp 2 quadrillion ($214 billion) a year of physical investment over the next five years.
O’Brien, who was speaking on the sidelines of a seminar organized by the British Chamber of Commerce in Jakarta, predicted that Indonesia’s economy would expand by 5.3 percent this year.
He said he expected GDP growth to rise to 5.6 percent in 2011 and 2012, increasing further to 5.8 percent in 2013 and 6 percent in 2014.
Indonesia’s prospects are underpinned by its huge labor force, strong domestic demand and relatively stable political climate, O’Brien said.
In terms of energy security, Indonesia’s oil-refining capacity, currently at 1.05 million barrels a day, is only enough to supply 70 percent of the domestic demand for petroleum products.
With global food prices picking up once again, inflation accelerated to the fastest pace in seven months in January.
- Malaysian Girl Speaks Indonesian After Freak Accident: Report
- Indonesians Buying Up Most Expensive Homes in Singapore
- Indonesia Woman Kills Teenage Brother Over Sock Insult
- Funeral on Friday for Student Killed in Rafting Accident
- Concerned for Orangutans in Indonesia, US Girl Scouts Lobby for Sustainable Palm Oil
- Will Lady Gaga Finally Set Foot in Jakarta?
- Opening Eyes to Tolerance Via Film
- 5 More Prisoners Found After Jakarta Jail Break
- Indonesian Operators Ban Access to LGBT Advocacy Web Site
- Ariel Could Be Released From Jail in July
-
11:03pm | Notorious Gang Boss Could Be B...
But Indonesia Today is a very lucky country...I know poverty and deprivation is still a problem But if you look at USA, Eropa, Australia for exampl -
10:44pm | Concerned for Orangutans in In...
When people have decent job they will be able to think about their environment. Unfortunately, being greedy often drive us not to care about preser -
10:34pm | Breaking News: Dozens Feared D...
Probably the accident investigation will uncover: 1) bus driver was speeding, 2) bus driver was tired, and 3) bus was not maintained properly. -
9:55pm | Breaking News: Dozens Feared D...
Agreed SBD...and many other routes. I am always scared going with a rental car with "the family", cruising along the mountain stretches, -
8:48pm | Breaking News: Dozens Feared D...
It's amazing there are not a lot more accidents of this severity, given the crazed manner in which many bus drivers 'pilot' their vehicles on th -
7:40pm | Shocking Images Show Animal Cr...
I can definitely tell you that in Islam we do not discriminate animals based on their habit or size. All animals should be loved and not unnecessar -
7:18pm | Malaysian Police Detain Saudi ...
Is that something that interpol do ? Do they have to follow certain guideline on what can be classified as a crime ? -
7:13pm | Shocking Images Show Animal Cr...
Sorry Bawel, my brother... What do you do with Eid Al Adha? Slice (or watch the slicing of) the throat of the goat and let i
