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Obama Turns His Attention To Where the Money Is
William Pesek | January 12, 2012

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serenityjam
12:20am Jan 13, 2012

Excellent analysis dissecting America's foreign policies, past and present. See how volatile USA's changing attitude towards her "allies". Pacific Ocean will once again be the political theater of the world.

I just hope that Indonesia does not get too involved in these petty squabbles. I believe that our country can take the lead from the changing landscape of foreign politics. I think that we remain active but cautious of moves from these "superpowers" that have not fully changed their mindsets about trespassing over an independent country's sovereignty for their selfish interests.


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Of all the realizations US President Barack Obama has made in three years in the White House, this may be the most crucial: The United States is a Pacific nation.

Odd as it sounds, the United States spent the past decade forgetting a fact that’s obvious from consulting a map or tracking container ships. When former President George W. Bush’s administration bothered with Asia, it was all terrorism all the time. Quite odd, considering how reliant it became on Asia’s money during his tenure. The region became America’s banker.

Obama’s pivot east ends the neglect that allowed China to begin challenging US primacy, and Beijing isn’t happy. It’s high time for this shift as a crisis-racked Europe turns inward and Asia booms. Yet the United States must engage Asia more wisely, constructively and sincerely than in recent decades.

China’s irritation can be seen in what might be termed a culture war. The Americans and the Soviets had their Cold War; Washington and Beijing are now battling over soft power. First China took on Google’s search engine. Now the battle is over something both bigger and more existential — saving the Chinese soul from Western encroachments. A new Cultural Revolution? Not exactly.

In a recent Communist Party magazine article, Chinese President Hu Jintao wrote: “We must clearly see that international hostile forces are intensifying the strategic plot of Westernizing and dividing China, and ideological and cultural fields are the focal areas of their long-term infiltration.” Hyperbole aside, this is simply an effort to shore up support for Hu’s government by appealing to sentimental nationalism.

Could it be a coincidence that this comes six weeks after Obama visited Asia with big plans, including a deployment of troops in northern Australia?

Obama’s Asian shift was solidified days later at the East Asia Summit in Indonesia. There, maritime security and territorial disputes in the South China Sea were up for discussion in ways that irked China to no end. All the talk of China expanding its soft power is met with skepticism when the topic of claims to the resource-rich waters of the South China Sea comes up. The issue encapsulates why many leaders in Asia welcome the United States’ return and view China’s assumptions and ambitions with wariness.

China has little time for the sensitivities of regional governments. That attitude fuels perceptions of a China convinced that its interpretation of history matters most, be it disputed claims to tiny islands hundreds of kilometers from its shores, the motivation behind its sizable military buildup or the fate of 23 million Taiwanese voting for a democratically elected president this week.

There’s little doubt over China’s trajectory. Barring a major crisis, China’s economy might surpass that of the United States before the end of this decade. Yet there’s great debate about the merits of China’s belief that world hegemony is its due and that small economies should pay it tribute with undying loyalty and natural resources while an undervalued yuan hurts them economically.

In conversations in Bangkok and Jakarta this week, and recent ones in Tokyo and Seoul, Obama’s intentions in Asia came up constantly. This much seems clear: Although Asians have loads of problems with America’s policies and frown on its domestic politics, many don’t harbor great fears about its long-term ambitions. Obama’s push for a Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement with nations including Australia, Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam and eventually Japan — China is pointedly excluded — is being viewed in reasonably warm terms.

Hillary Clinton’s visit in December to Burma, which China views as being within its orbit of influence, is a fascinating footnote. The US secretary of state landed there three months after Burma suspended China’s construction of a $3.6 billion dam, a move that enraged Beijing. Was President Thein Sein expressing a sudden preference for the West over China? Only time will tell, but it raises fascinating possibilities.

Anyone who thinks the power shift from the United States to China will go smoothly is dreaming. Possible flash points: currencies, trade, intellectual property rights, climate change, military spending, North Korea, scarce global resources, human rights, control over cyberspace, Beijing’s coddling of rogue regimes and China’s vast holdings of US Treasuries. China is also sure to figure in this year’s US presidential election.

China should forget the soft-power push for the moment and use its influence to rein in Kim Jong-un in Pyongyang and Iran’s saber rattling over the Strait of Hormuz. It should accelerate the rise in the yuan and play by international rules of commerce, not bending the World Trade Organization to its benefit at the expense of everyone else.

The United States must do its part, too. It’s no longer in a position to lecture Asia the way Bill Clinton’s White House did. The 2008 financial crisis and the Iraq war before it did great damage to the American brand and sapped its economic power. America must leave the arrogance of the past at the door as it re-enters Asia. This return must go beyond appearances and be a genuine partnership.

As China tries to extend its sway in Asia, the United States must realize that its own regional ambitions need some polishing, too.
 
William Pesek is a Bloomberg View columnist.




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